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David Sasaki's avatar

Here's a fun (?) addition: build a $1,000 index fund spread across all your predictions and have it recompute expected value each week based on Kalshi's markets for each game.

yegg's avatar

Hah, I think that would be a good idea if these were at all good predictions relative to the betting markets, but I doubt they are. It's pretty simplistic but I think good enough to get a sense of who might play in what match.