Rules

You can make a compelling narrative for almost anything untrue (Rule 4)

Pick something you believe to be untrue, for example a common conspiracy theory or policy narrative.

Mar 22

Rule #3: Every decision involves trade-offs

One of the universal rules of decision-making is that every decision involves trade-offs.

Aug 10, 2025

Rule #2: There are always underlying assumptions.

When properly assessing any conclusion, it is essential to enumerate the underlying assumptions.

Jun 21, 2025

Rule 1: Reality is always more complicated.

I’ve always been drawn to characters with “rules.”

May 3, 2025

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Gabriel Weinberg

Rules